Democratic strategist James Carville has broken his silence on the current trajectory of the 2024 election.
“Early indications here are not real,” Carville says said on Amazon’s life Election Day Coverageindicating that the current results appear to be leaning red.
As of 8:45 p.m., not a single swing state had been declared, although former Republican Party President Donald Trump has shown significant improvements overall so far compared to his 2020 contest against Joe Biden.
Political commentator James Carville ahead of the Democratic National Convention in August. Bloomberg via Getty Images
Carville indicated that the current results from the 2024 election appear to be red. Stephanie Augello/Shutterstock
Carville – the architect of Bill Clinton’s successful 1992 presidential campaign – predicted an election victory for Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris on Friday.
“She has more money, more energy, a more united party, better surrogates – and he’s completely crazy,” the Louisiana-based analyst said on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.”
Public polls showed the election was close as voters cast their ballots Tuesday morning.
But Carville, nicknamed the Ragin’ Cajun, also often warned the Harris campaign about the surveys were not as rosy as they seemed.
“I challenge the Democrats here with some caution. First of all, most want to say that we have to win by three in the popular vote to win the Electoral College,” Carville said on “Real Time with Bill Maher” in August.
“So if you see a poll that says… two up, well, that’s basically, you’re down one, if the poll is correct,” he added.
“The other thing is that traditionally, when Trump is out voting, Trump is chronically under-polled,” Carville said at the time.
According to some exit polls and early vote dumps, Harris’ key demographics — including Hispanics, college-educated voters and independents — have swung toward Trump by larger margins than previously predicted.
Not a single swing state has been declared yet.